How the decision theory of NCLP differs between humans and machines
- Classical decision theory assumes humans but AIs have different capabilities
and different situation that they find themselves in.
- Evidential decision theory would cause cooperation with AI that share the
same source code (and data...).
- CDT is harder (than EDT) to formalize enough for machines to follow it.
- Inferring the causal graph is hard, sometimes unclear how to do it.
- CDT is more sensitive to choosing the right abstractions (and if you messed
it up, the consequences are worse than for EDT).
- Causality itself is complicated and not completely solved.
- Tickle defence might work better for AIs than for humans, so EDT + tickle
defence = Reflective EDT would be a better decision theory.
- If AIs are very similar, when they get into a prisoner's dilemma, it becomes
a NCLP.
- Even if they are not, they can simulate each other.